Ghana has stabilised. Now it has to produce more
Highly Esteemed Sister Stephanie Oforka, Executive Minister of Commerce at Loveworld Kingdom and convener of Loveworld Trade and Investment Forum (LTIF) in Accra, Ghana. Image Source: LTIF
Featured

Ghana has stabilised. Now it has to produce more

Ghana has spent the past few years repairing an economy that had become defined by inflation, debt distress, and a collapsing currency. The numbers have now improved.

In 2025, the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) expanded by 6% and another 6% in the second quarter of 2026, according to the Ghana Statistical Service (GSS). Inflation fell to 5.2% in September. Public debt has dropped sharply from crisis levels, while stronger reserves have restored some of the buffers lost during the downturn.

Yet, economic stability has to become productive growth: businesses that manufacture more, farmers connected to processors and markets, companies capable of scaling, and jobs productive enough to raise incomes. Ghana has steadied the ship. It now has to decide what the ship is carrying.

The World Bank made the distinction explicit in its latest Ghana Economic Update. It expects full-year growth to moderate to 4.8% in 2026 as the initial rebound loses some momentum and warns that the recovery has not yet created enough quality jobs for the country’s growing workforce.

In another recent October poverty assessment, the global bank said it expects poverty reduction to stall this year, in part because many poorer Ghanaians remain trapped in low-productivity, low-paying work. Poor transport links, weak logistics, and other structural constraints continue to raise costs for businesses. Without business growth, labour productivity and compensation remains stuck.

At the Loveworld Trade & Investment Forum in Accra, Ghana, in October, that problem appeared in different forms across two days of discussions on industry, finance, technology, and trade.


Tom-Chris Emewulu, founder and president of Stars From All Nations, offered one of the sharper descriptions of what building a company in an emerging market can require.

“In Africa’s young markets like Ghana, the company that scales often has to lay the tarmac that it travels on,” he said.

Companies rarely grow on capital and entrepreneurial skill alone. They depend on systems around them: payments, identification, regulation, transport, data, skilled workers, and financial institutions willing to fund expansion. Sometimes those systems develop only after businesses begin building.

Philip Twum, Head of Business Development for Ghana at digital lender Fido, said that when the company entered digital lending, the industry barely existed in its present form.

“Building an industry from an entrepreneur’s point of view, and in the case of how it happened with Fido, it meant going to create something that didn’t exist,” Twum said.

Banks initially regarded the model as too risky, he said. The infrastructure supporting digital lending also had to mature around it.

One important change was the Ghana Card.

Twum recalled the difficulty of lending remotely when customers could identify themselves with different documents and lenders had to establish whether those identities were genuine.

“We’ve been through all those hoops until we came to the point where there was a unified ID card. And that really changed the game for us,” he said.

The Bank of Ghana has since formalised digital-credit regulation, and Fido appears on the central bank’s list of approved digital lending applications.
Productive economies are built when private innovation and public infrastructure begin reinforcing each other. A government identification system makes digital finance easier. Payments infrastructure lowers transaction costs. Better roads enlarge the market a manufacturer can serve. Clear regulation gives investors more confidence to fund an emerging industry.

Colette Ameshi, Managing Director of Pulse Ghana, pointed to mobile payments as another example. A decade ago, she told delegates, payments in Ghana were overwhelmingly cash-based. The shift since then was not the work of one company.


“This is not because of one shining app,” Ameshi said. “It’s been because of collaboration across fintechs, telcos and the banks.”

Ghana’s next phase of growth will require more of that coordination in less digitally mature parts of the economy.

Transport remains an obvious weakness. More than 95% of Ghana’s passenger and freight traffic moves by road, according to the World Bank, while poor road conditions, weak rail freight and inadequate links between ports and inland transport continue to raise the cost of moving goods. These limitations stall margins for businesses.

Agriculture presents another opportunity. Ghana’s new AgriConnect Compact is intended to raise productivity and expand value addition in cocoa, oil palm, rice, maize, poultry, and other value chains. Its first phase requires an estimated $3.5 billion in financing.

Getting that money into productive businesses presents another challenge.

“Who will finance the factory? Who will finance our technologies, our innovation, our infrastructure, our businesses that will define Africa’s next generation?” Stephanie Oforka, Executive Minister of Commerce at Loveworld Kingdom and convener of LTIF, asked delegates.

A business may have a good product and still be uninvestable. It may also have capital and still struggle to build an industry. Twum’s account of Fido showed why. As digital credit matured, the company had to work not only with customers but with regulators, banks and infrastructure it did not own.
Twum said Fido partners with banks where each side possesses something the other needs. A bank can take deposits, while a fintech may be better at acquiring and serving some customers digitally. The commercial logic, rather than goodwill, holds the partnership together.

Ghana will need more arrangements like that if its recovery is to produce industries rather than isolated corporate successes. The country has restored much of the macroeconomic stability lost during the crisis. Inflation has fallen. Growth has returned. The immediate emergency has receded.

Now, it needs something more to unlock the benefits of its economic stability: companies have to become larger and better organised. Capital has to reach productive businesses. Infrastructure has to lower operating costs. Regulators have to keep pace with industries without strangling them. Technology has to move from novelty into the machinery of ordinary commerce.